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Tuesday, November 29, 2005

janet on track

SurveyUSA has the latest 50-state tracking on Governor approval/disapproval numbers. Janet is at 65% approve, up 4 percentage points from October. The MOE is +/-3.9%. The trends all year have been mostly positive.

What I find most interesting is that her approve number is the same for both men and women. In the past, men have actually been more likely to approve of her job than women. This is akin to when I earned identical scores on the math and verbal sections of the SAT's. It speaks to her remarkable balance and appeal.

54% of Republicans approve of her job, very good in such a nastily partisan state with such a nastily partisan Republican-held legislature. Even 53% of self-proclaimed conservatives approve of our Governor.

Nearly identical numbers in the populous Tucson and Phoenix metropolitan areas - 67% and 66% respectively - approve of the job she's doing. This is especially good news in terms of re-election numbers, since Phoenix is so heavily-laden with registered Republicans.

On the other hand, this may diminish the perceived importance of Tucson in the next statewide election. We were credited with winning the election for her the first time and she didn't totally ignore non-Maricopa County as a result, as previous Governors have done. I do hope she remembers where her base is...

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